FloGrappling Analysts Predict How The ADCC -55kg Bracket Will Be Seeded
FloGrappling Analysts Predict How The ADCC -55kg Bracket Will Be Seeded
Corey Stockton, Joe Gilpin & Carlos Arthur Jr. make their seeding and bracket predictions for the -55kg division at the 2024 ADCC World Championships.
The countdown to the 2024 ADCC World Championships is coming to an end. We're just 38 days away from biggest event in grappling at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Aug. 17-18.\
As the all star brackets fill up, we're beginning to anticipate which matches we may see, which athletes will be seeded where, and what the brackets may look like.
Three FloGrappling analysts tried our hands at predicting how the brackets will be drawn, starting with the stacked women's -55kg division. Take a look at our best guesses below!
Corey Stockton
Bianca Basilio is the only athlete in this division who has won ADCC gold in any division. She's the 2019 -60kg champion, and therefore an obvious no.1 seed in this -55kg bracket.
It's a bit harder to identify the no.2; but let's look at ADCC track record. Mayssa Bastos is one of just two ADCC veterans in this division other than Basilio (Adele Fornarino is the other). Bastos defeated Jasmine Rocha in the final of the ADCC South American Trials in 2022, and is my pick as the no.2 on that merit.
ADCC precedent would suggest that Bastos will face her teammate, Margot Ciccarelli in the first round, as teammates have historically faced off no later than the quarterfinal round. That makes Ciccarelli the no.7.
This is where things get particularly tricky. Several women have a claim to the no.3 spot: Adele Fornarino, Ana Rodrigues and Jasmine Rocha foremost.
Fornarino is a three-time Trials winner and an ADCC veteran. Rocha has podiumed at several editions of Trials on two continents. However, ARod's win over Rocha in the South American Trials final — as well as her pile of jiu-jitsu titles outside of the ADCC universe — will give her the rights to the no.3 spot.
This also keeps Rocha free of rematches with Alex Enriquez and ARod, both of which were prior ADCC Trials finals.
Rocha and Fornarino are neck and neck for the no.4 and no.5 seeds. The most important part is (if this bracket is correct) the fans will have that matchup locked in.
That leaves Alex Enriquez and Brenda Larissa, both of whom won a non-qualifying Trials. Enriquez has a better track record of podium performances at ADCC, and should have the higher seed, putting her as the no.6 and leaving Larissa with the no.8.
Joe Gilpin
Bianca Basilio is the 2019 ADCC World Champion and the clear 1-seed in the field as the only former medalist. I think Mayssa, a former Trials champion and an early invite, is the second seed because of her ADCC experience.
The three seed was the hardest to figure out but I went with the only other athlete with ADCC experience - Adele Fornarino. She has a recent win over Ana so I think she slots in well there (even though that match wasn’t ADCC rules). From there, Ana beat Jasmine at South American Trials and Jasmine beat Alex at West Coast. With Margot already having to fight her teammate Mayssa first round, she is drawn automatically into the seven seed - leaving Brenda Larissa (who did have ADCC success this year with a Trials victory and a discretionary invite) at the 8.
Carlos Arthur Jr.
ADCC was spot-on with the introduction of the -55kg division. Lighter athletes have been requesting it for a long time, and it goes to show how the organization aims to give women a more prominent role in the competition, not only with that category but also with the return of the women's absolute.
I think we'll have fireworks right off the bat, with Atos' Bia Basilio and Adele Fornarino. BasÃlio is an ADCC champ and comes as a top seed to face Fornarino in a duel of foot attackers. Whoever wins will face the winner of Alex Enriquez vs Brenda Larissa, with the former also being from Atos and both competitors playing very well on top, especially in no-gi.
On the other side of the bracket, Mayssa Bastos has the no.2 seed facing her teammate Margot Ciccarelli. This one is unpredictable and both athletes have a solid chance of advancing in the bracket. The winner will face either Anna Rodrigues or Jasmine Rocha. A rematch coming in the very first round of the -55kg division, Rocha will be looking for some payback against Anna after her loss in the South American Trials final. Meanwhile, we have gi powerhouse Anna Rodrigues still trying to find her flow in the no-gi scene.
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